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Kyle Lowry

Kyle Lowry Points
Player Prop - 10/25/2023

Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons

 
 
 
Kyle Lowry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Compared to his full-year mark of core.FORMAT(RATE2,1)% in [AWAY_ROAD] games, Kyle Lowry's field goal prowess has surged by core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1)% over the last 10 games [AS_A_VISITING_PLAYER].
  • Kyle Lowry has played 29.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 77th percentile.
  • The Heat rank as the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 25 games.
  • This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 47.3% on field goals (26th-best in the NBA) against the Pistons, marking this as a positive matchup.
  • In comparison to his full-year clip of core.FORMAT(RATE2,1)% in home games, Kyle Lowry's foul-shot proficiency has increased by core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1)% over the last 5 games playing at home.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Kyle Lowry has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) higher than he's averaged in all games this year.
  • The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 15 games with the home court advantage.
  • The Pistons have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which should decrease plays for the {OPP_TEAM}.
  • Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 8thworst in in the league when playing on the road with just 9.6 offensive boards per game this year.
  • At home, the Detroit Pistons have allowed the 8th-most offensive boards per game (11.0) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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