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Kyle Lowry

Kyle Lowry Points
Player Prop - 6/12/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Kyle Lowry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kyle Lowry has successfully made 48.6% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 5.9% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

Kyle Lowry has averaged 29.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 76th percentile.

The Miami Heat have been the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league away from home this year as it relates to three-point attempts.

The matchup against Denver is a positive one for three-pointers; when the Nuggets have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PGs have compiled the 28th-highest three rate in the league this year (38.8%).

The Nuggets have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kyle Lowry has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (85th percentile).

The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Heat.

The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Nuggets may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a lowly 2.0 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (9th-least in the league).

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