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Kyle Lowry

Kyle Lowry Points
Player Prop - 6/9/2023

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets

Kyle Lowry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+108/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -132.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kyle Lowry has successfully made 50.0% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 7.4% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season.

Kyle Lowry has tallied 29.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 76th percentile.

The Miami Heat have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 7 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kyle Lowry has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 11.5% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.

Kyle Lowry will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court usually improves player performance for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kyle Lowry has averaged 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.6 more than he's averaged in all games this season at home.

The Miami Heat have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a hard one; they have given up the 11th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs over the last 20 games (13.9).

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat.

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