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Kyle Lowry

Kyle Lowry Points
Player Prop - 6/7/2023

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Kyle Lowry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Kyle Lowry has sunk 50.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games at home, 7.9% higher than he's made overall this year while at home.
  • Kyle Lowry has been on the court for 29.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 76th percentile.
  • The Miami Heat check in as the 10th-most aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of 3-point attempts.
  • Kyle Lowry has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 11.5% more than he's put through the net overall this season.
  • Kyle Lowry will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city generally increases player production for all stats.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Kyle Lowry has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.1 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the year at home.
  • The matchup against the Nuggets is a difficult one; they have given up the 11th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PGs over the last 20 games (14.3).
  • The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
  • The Nuggets have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to fewer plays for the Heat.
  • The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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