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Kyle Lowry

Kyle Lowry Points
Player Prop - 5/29/2023

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Kyle Lowry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -143.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kyle Lowry has attempted 5.2 three-point shots per game this year, ranking in the 84th percentile among all players in the league.

Kyle Lowry has played 29.2 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

The Miami Heat check in as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games away from home in terms of attempts from beyond the arc.

The matchup vs. Boston is a favorable one for attempts from beyond the arc; when the Celtics are playing at home, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied the 27th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.3).

The Celtics have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kyle Lowry has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (85th percentile).

The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 15 games on the road.

The Celtics have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Heat.

The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kyle Lowry will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers player production for all stats.

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