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Kyle Lowry

Kyle Lowry Points
Player Prop - 5/2/2023

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Kyle Lowry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Kyle Lowry has successfully made 60.3% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 16.5% more than he's put through the net in all games this year without the home court advantage.
  • Kyle Lowry has made 52.1% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games on the road, 16.8% more than he's sunk over the course of the year when playing away from home.
  • Kyle Lowry has averaged 29.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 79th percentile.
  • The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA away from their home court this year as it relates to three-point attempts.
  • The matchup vs. the Knicks is a good one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled the 29th-most shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (2.4).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Kyle Lowry has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (86th percentile).
  • The Knicks have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Heat.
  • The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup vs. New York is a difficult one for getting to the free throw line; opposing starting PGs have attempted just 3.2 foul shots per game this year when the Knicks are on their home court (11th-least in the NBA).
  • Kyle Lowry will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually lowers stat production across the board.

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