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Kyle Lowry

Kyle Lowry Points
Player Prop - 4/26/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat

Kyle Lowry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kyle Lowry has converted 43.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 8.7% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year while on the road.

Kyle Lowry has tallied 30.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 79th percentile.

The Miami Heat rank as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year in terms of attempts from beyond the arc.

The Bucks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Heat.

While at home, the Bucks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kyle Lowry has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league (84th percentile).

The matchup against Milwaukee is a difficult one for shots from the field; when the Bucks are playing at home, the opposition's starting PGs have posted the 12th-lowest Field Goal% in the league this year (42.4%).

The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league this year.

The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against Milwaukee may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.6 free throws per game over the last 25 games when the Bucks are playing at home (15th-least in the league).

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