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Kyle Lowry

Kyle Lowry Points
Player Prop - 4/22/2023

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks

Kyle Lowry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kyle Lowry has sunk 43.9% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games, 8.8% more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year.

Kyle Lowry has played 30.4 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

The Miami Heat rank as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc.

This matchup is a difficult one for 3-pointers; when the Bucks are away from home, the other team have averaged the least three-point shots per game in the NBA against them this year (11.3).

The Bucks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games while traveling, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Heat.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kyle Lowry has tallied 2.3 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 75th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league this year.

The Miami Heat check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

While on the road, the Bucks have allowed the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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