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Kyle Lowry

Kyle Lowry Points
Player Prop - 4/11/2023

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks

Kyle Lowry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-130/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kyle Lowry has converted 43.2% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games, 8.6% higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year.

Kyle Lowry has attempted 5.3 treys per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Kyle Lowry has been on the court for 30.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 82nd percentile.

The Miami Heat have been the 6th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as it relates to three-point attempts.

The matchup vs. the Hawks is a difficult one for three-pointers; their opposition have tallied the 7th-least treys per game in the league this year (11.9).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kyle Lowry has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 87th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling when it comes to getting T'ed up.

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.

The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Without the home court advantage, the Hawks have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

This matchup may be a good one for getting to the foul line; opposing squads have attempted an enormous 24.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (6th-most in the NBA).

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