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Kyle Lowry

Kyle Lowry Points
Player Prop - 4/1/2023

Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks

Kyle Lowry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-128/+104).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kyle Lowry has sunk 53.3% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 18.2% more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year.

Kyle Lowry has played 31.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 84th percentile.

The Miami Heat rank as the 10th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of attempts from beyond the arc.

The matchup against the Mavericks is a challenging one for three-pointers; opposing clubs have averaged the least threes per game in the NBA this year (11.0).

Kyle Lowry has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 13.5% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kyle Lowry has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game while at home this year, ranking in the 80th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Mavericks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat.

The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

While playing on the road, the Mavericks have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.8) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

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