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Kyle Lowry

Kyle Lowry Points
Player Prop - 3/15/2023

Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies

Kyle Lowry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kyle Lowry has successfully made 47.6% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games at home, 8.2% more than he's sunk in all games this season at home.

Kyle Lowry has sunk 2.4 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.6 higher than he's sunk in all games this year at home.

Kyle Lowry has averaged 32.8 minutes per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 86th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

This matchup is a hard one for scoring; their opposition have averaged the 9th-least shots made from the field per game in the NBA over the last 10 games when the Grizzlies are the visiting squad (39.9).

The Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Heat.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kyle Lowry has tallied 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's tallied in all games this year.

The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.

The Grizzlies have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

This matchup is a good one for drawing fouls; when the Grizzlies are on the road, opposing squads have attempted a whopping 23.3 foul shots per game this year (6th-most in the league).

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