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Kyle Lowry

Kyle Lowry Assists
Player Prop - 11/16/2023

Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets

Kyle Lowry Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kyle Lowry has averaged 4.8 assists per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- one of the best in the NBA in this category.

This year when they are playing at home, opposing clubs have captured 10.1 offensive boards per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Brooklyn Nets (losing possessions that could otherwise produce additional chances for offense).

Kyle Lowry figures to see a rise in production in all facets of the game as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kyle Lowry has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (78th percentile).

The Miami Heat have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The Heat will likely see a decline in possessions in this contest from facing the 9th-most sluggish tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Brooklyn Nets).

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 9thworst in in the NBA playing at home with a mere 9.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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