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Kyle Lowry

Kyle Lowry Assists
Player Prop - 6/1/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Kyle Lowry Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+128/-167).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -167.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kyle Lowry has tallied 29.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 77th percentile.

The Nuggets have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.9) in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kyle Lowry has averaged a measly 4.9 assists per game this year, significantly lower than his 7.1 assists per game last year.

Kyle Lowry has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (85th percentile).

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games while playing on the road.

The Nuggets have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games at home, which should decrease opportunities for the Heat.

The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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