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Kyle Lowry

Kyle Lowry Assists
Player Prop - 4/24/2023

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks

 
 
 
Kyle Lowry Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+120/-156).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +128 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Kyle Lowry has compiled 5.2 assists per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 91st percentile -- among the NBA's leaders by this metric.
  • Kyle Lowry has been on the court for 30.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 80th percentile.
  • The Bucks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games away from their home stadium, which ought to boost plays for the Heat.
  • Kyle Lowry will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium usually boosts stat production in all stat categories.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Kyle Lowry has committed 2.3 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 75th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
  • The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league this year.
  • The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Without the home court advantage, the Bucks have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the league to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

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