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Kyle Lowry

Kyle Lowry Assists
Player Prop - 4/22/2023

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks

Kyle Lowry Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+116/-142).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +138 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +116.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kyle Lowry has posted 5.3 assists per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 91st percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this metric.

Kyle Lowry has played 30.4 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

The Bucks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games while traveling, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Heat.

Kyle Lowry will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally raises player production in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kyle Lowry has tallied 2.3 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 75th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league this year.

The Miami Heat check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

While on the road, the Bucks have allowed the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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