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Kyle Lowry

Kyle Lowry Assists
Player Prop - 4/11/2023

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks

Kyle Lowry Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-154/+118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -154.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kyle Lowry has been on the court for 30.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 82nd percentile.

The Hawks have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Heat.

Kyle Lowry will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city usually improves stat production in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kyle Lowry has totaled a measly 5.1 assists per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 7.1 assists per game last year.

Kyle Lowry has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 87th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling when it comes to getting T'ed up.

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.

The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Without the home court advantage, the Hawks have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

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