Killian Hayes Points - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2023

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Killian Hayes

NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Toronto Raptors · Feb 25, 2023

Updated Feb 25, 2023 5:06 PM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Killian Hayes has attempted 11.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 more than he's attempted in all games this year.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
On the road, the Raptors have allowed the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Killian Hayes has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 26.3% more than he's put through the net in all games this season at home.

Favors Under

Killian Hayes has averaged 2.9 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Detroit Pistons have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The matchup against the Raptors is a challenging one; they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (16.2).
The Raptors have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Pistons.

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