Khris Middleton Points - Player Prop Bet 4/19/2023

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Khris Middleton

NBA · Player Props

Khris Middleton

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat · Apr 19, 2023

Updated Apr 20, 2023 12:51 AM EST

Analysis

Khris Middleton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Khris Middleton has posted 19.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.2 higher than he's posted overall this year.
Khris Middleton has attempted 4.7 three-pointers per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The matchup vs. the Heat is a strong one for three-pointers; the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 29th-most 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.1).
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Khris Middleton has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 higher than he's been called for overall this year.
The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games without the home court advantage, which should reduce possessions for the Bucks.
As a team, the Milwaukee Bucks have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free throw line of late: worst in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home with a mere 15.6 foul shot attempts per game.

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