Khris Middleton Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/12/2024

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Khris Middleton

NBA · Player Props

Khris Middleton

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Made 3 Point Shots

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks · Apr 12, 2024

Updated Apr 12, 2024 11:42 PM EST

Analysis

Khris Middleton Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+135/-165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Khris Middleton has converted 50.1% of his three-pointers over the last 15 games, 10.2% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.
The Bucks check in as the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Bucks will likely see a rise in plays today from squaring off against the 4th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).

Favors Under

Khris Middleton has averaged 3.3 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.8 more than he's averaged over the course of the year.
This year, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 25.5% on three-pointers (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, identifying this as a hard matchup.
The 3rd-most lethargic pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Bucks.
The Bucks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Khris Middleton ought to suffer a drop-off in output in all facets of the game due to being on the road in this matchup.

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