Kevin Porter Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/22/2025

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Kevin Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Porter Jr.

G-F · LA Clippers

Points

LA Clippers vs Boston Celtics · Jan 22, 2025

Updated Jan 23, 2025 3:30 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-121/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -121.

Key Factors

Favors Over

As it relates to 3-point shots, the LA Clippers's impressive 37.9% rate of converted threes while on their home court settles in as the 6th-most in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The matchup against the Celtics is a positive one for three-point shots; the other team's starting PGs have averaged the most 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (3.0).
The Clippers have played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.
Kevin Porter Jr. has converted 1.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 more than he's sunk overall this season while at home.
Kevin Porter Jr. is expected to see an increase in efficiency in all stat categories on account of controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Kevin Porter Jr. comes in at the 16th percentile for 3-point performance with a poor 23.3% rate this year.
The Clippers are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the slowest pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Boston Celtics).
The Clippers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 2.3 free throws per game (fewest in the league) against the Boston Celtics, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

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