Kevin Porter Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/13/2025

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Kevin Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Porter Jr.

G-F · LA Clippers

Points

LA Clippers vs Miami Heat · Jan 13, 2025

Updated Jan 14, 2025 2:35 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Porter Jr. has converted 49.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 8.8% more than he's put through the net in all games this season.
Kevin Porter Jr. has been on the court for 25.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 5.0 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season at home.
When it comes to shots from downtown, the LA Clippers's fantastic 39.9% rate of drained threes when playing at home settles in as the 2nd-most in the league over the last 10 games.
The 4th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Clippers.
Kevin Porter Jr. will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally increases stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Kevin Porter Jr. has successfully made 23.9% of his three-point attempts this year, ranking him in the 16th percentile out of all players in the league.
Kevin Porter Jr. has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 0.9 more than he's been called for over the course of the year at home.
The Clippers will likely see a decline in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-slowest pace team in the league this year (the Miami Heat).
The LA Clippers rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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