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Kevin Porter Jr.

Kevin Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 4/4/2023

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Kevin Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Kevin Porter Jr. has attempted 10.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 3.5 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home.
  • Kevin Porter Jr. has played 33.7 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 92nd percentile.
  • The Houston Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Kevin Porter Jr. has made a whopping 3.4 free throws per game this year, significantly higher than his 2.0 mark last year.
  • Kevin Porter Jr. will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage usually boosts player production in all stat categories.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Kevin Porter Jr. has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game while at home this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
  • The Houston Rockets rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
  • The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a difficult one; they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PGs over the last 15 games (14.4).
  • The Houston Rockets have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games.
  • The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which should reduce opportunities for the Rockets.

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