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Kevin Porter Jr.

Kevin Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 3/22/2023

Memphis Grizzlies vs Houston Rockets

Kevin Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -123 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kevin Porter Jr. has attempted 8.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's attempted overall this season.

Kevin Porter Jr. has averaged 38.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.0 more than he's averaged in all games this year.

The Houston Rockets have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage.

The Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games on their home court, which ought to raise possessions for the Rockets.

The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kevin Porter Jr. has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (85th percentile).

The Houston Rockets have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The matchup against Memphis is a hard one; when the Grizzlies are on their home court, they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (14.5).

On their home court, the Grizzlies have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against Memphis may be a hard one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted just 2.5 free throws per game over the last 15 games when the Grizzlies are at home (15th-least in the league).

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