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Kevin Love

Kevin Love Points
Player Prop - 2/26/2024

Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Kevin Love Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Kevin Love has made 52.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 5.8% higher than he's converted in all games this year while playing away from home.
  • Kevin Love has attempted 4.5 three-point shots per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 75th percentile among all players in the league.
  • As it relates to shots from downtown, the Heat's terrific 37.4% rate of converted threes ranks 9th-most in the NBA this year.
  • The Miami Heat are expected to see a rise in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Kings).
  • The Sacramento Kings have given up the least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This matchup is a strong one for threes; the other team has posted the highest 3-point rate in the league this year (39.3%).
  • The least up-tempo pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Heat.
  • Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 4thworst in in the NBA away from their home court with a mere 9.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.
  • Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have attempted 24.2 foul shots per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Kings, finding it easy to get to the foul line.
  • Kevin Love is expected to suffer a reduction in production in all stat categories on account of playing away from home in this contest.

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