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Kevin Love

Kevin Love Points
Player Prop - 1/31/2024

Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings

Kevin Love Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+105/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Kevin Love places in the 75th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, registering 4.6 per game this year.

The Miami Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 20 games at home.

This year, the other team has collected 9.3 offensive boards per game (fewest in the league) against the Sacramento Kings (lessening possessions that could otherwise lead to additional chances for offense).

Kevin Love will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually boosts player production in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kevin Love has sunk 20.1% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 8.6% lower than he's sunk over the course of the season.

This matchup is a strong one for shots from the field; opposing clubs have compiled the 10th-highest field goal percentage in the league this year (48.4%).

The most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Heat.

Offensive rebounds save possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 6thworst in in the NBA with just 9.6 offensive boards per game this year.

Over the last 20 games when they have the home court advantage, the other team has attempted 23.8 free throws per game (10th-highest in the league) against the Sacramento Kings, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

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