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Kevin Love

Kevin Love Points
Player Prop - 1/24/2024

Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies

Kevin Love Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Kevin Love ranks in the 77th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, totaling 4.8 per game this year.

With respect to 3-point shots, the Heat's outstanding 40.4% rate of made threes while playing at home comes in as the 2nd-most in the league this year.

The Miami Heat are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from competing against the 10th-fastest pace-of-play road offense in the league this year (the Grizzlies).

The Grizzlies have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.4) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Kevin Love has attempted 3.7 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year, opposing clubs have shot 38.5% on three-pointers (5th-highest in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, identifying this as a favorable matchup.

The 2nd-most sluggish tempo offense in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.

The Miami Heat check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

This matchup may be a good one for drawing fouls; when the Grizzlies are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have attempted an enormous 24.2 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (6th-most in the league).

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