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Kevin Love

Kevin Love Points
Player Prop - 11/30/2023

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers

Kevin Love Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-123/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Kevin Love comes in at the 83rd percentile for 3-point performance with a a superb 40.0% rate since the start of last season.

The Miami Heat have been the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA while at home this year.

This matchup is a hard one for 3-point attempts; when the Indiana Pacers are away from home, their opposition has averaged the fewest 3-point attempts per game in the league against them this year (25.3).

The Indiana Pacers have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the NBA at home this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Heat.

Kevin Love has missed 0.1 foul shots per game on his home court since the start of last season, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this metric: 13th percentile for misses at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court.

The Miami Heat check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing away from home since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year when they are away from home, opposing teams have collected 13.8 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) vs. the Pacers (lengthening possessions that can spark further chances for offense).

This year when they are playing at home, their opposition has attempted 27.8 free throws per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Indiana Pacers, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

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