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Kevin Love

Kevin Love Points
Player Prop - 11/3/2023

Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards

Kevin Love Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Heat's outstanding 12.4 successful threes per game as the road team rates 9th-highest in the league over the last 5 games.

This matchup is a challenging one for 3-pointers; when the Washington Wizards are on their home court, opposing teams have shot for the 9th-lowest three rate in the league since the start of last season (35.6%).

Out of all players in the NBA, Kevin Love lands in the 85th percentile for free-throw efficiency playing at home with a a very good 87.5% rate since the start of last season.

This matchup is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing squads have attempted just 22.3 free throws per game when the Wizards are the visiting squad since the start of last season (4th-least in the NBA).

Kevin Love figures to see an increase in output across the board as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kevin Love has made 37.8% of his shots from the field since the start of last season, ranking him in the 12th percentile among all players in the league.

The 10th-slowest pace home offense in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.

The Heat have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Since the start of last season when they are on the road, opposing teams have nabbed 11.3 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Washington Wizards (maintaining possessions that can produce added chances for offense).

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