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Kevin Love

Kevin Love Points
Player Prop - 6/9/2023

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets

Kevin Love Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The matchup against the Nuggets is a good one; they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PFs over the last 20 games (21.3).

The Miami Heat have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 7 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kevin Love has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games at home, 15.6% more than he's put through the net in all games this year on his home court.

The matchup against the Nuggets may be a positive one for getting to the free throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a massive 5.8 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (30th-most in the NBA).

Kevin Love will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually raises player production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kevin Love has attempted just 4.6 three-point shots per game this year, significantly lower than his 6.4 mark last year.

The Miami Heat have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat.

On the road, the Nuggets have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

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