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Kevin Love

Kevin Love Points
Player Prop - 6/7/2023

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets

Kevin Love Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -143.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Miami Heat check in as the 10th-most aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of 3-point attempts.

The matchup against the Nuggets is a strong one; they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PFs over the last 20 games (21.2).

Kevin Love has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 12.0% more than he's made in all games this season.

The matchup vs. the Nuggets may be a favorable one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 5.8 free throws per game over the last 20 games (30th-most in the league).

Kevin Love will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually boosts stat production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kevin Love has attempted a lowly 4.6 3-pointers per game this season, significantly less than his 6.4 mark last season.

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Nuggets have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to fewer plays for the Heat.

The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

When playing away from home, the Nuggets have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

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