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Kevin Love

Kevin Love Points
Player Prop - 6/4/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Kevin Love Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kevin Love has successfully made 54.2% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 22.5% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season.

The Miami Heat have been the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA while on the road this year in terms of 3-point attempts.

The Nuggets have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Nuggets may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a whopping 6.1 free throws per game over the last 20 games (30th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kevin Love has converted a mere 2.6 baskets per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 4.4 rate last year.

The matchup against Denver is a difficult one; when the Nuggets are playing at home, they have given up the 7th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (14.0).

The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games at home, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat.

The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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