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Kevin Love

Kevin Love Points
Player Prop - 5/27/2023

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Kevin Love Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+106/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Miami Heat check in as the 10th-most aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of 3-point attempts.

The Celtics have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Kevin Love will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally raises stat production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kevin Love has attempted a mere 4.6 three-point shots per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 6.4 rate last season.

The matchup against the Celtics is a tough one for scoring; the opposition's starting PFs have posted the 8th-lowest field goal rate in the league this year (45.7%).

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace in the league this year.

The Celtics have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should reduce plays for the Heat.

The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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