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Kevin Love

Kevin Love Points
Player Prop - 5/25/2023

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Kevin Love Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-138/+112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -138.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kevin Love has made 79.2% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 47.1% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this season.

The Miami Heat rank as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games away from home when it comes to three-point attempts.

The matchup against Boston is a positive one for 3-pointers; when the Celtics have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PFs have averaged the 23rd-most 3-point shots per game in the league this year (1.7).

The Celtics have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kevin Love has sunk just 2.6 baskets per game this season, significantly lower than his 4.4 mark last season.

The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing on the road.

The Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Heat.

The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Celtics is a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.6 foul shots per game this year (12th-least in the NBA).

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