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Kevin Love

Kevin Love Points
Player Prop - 5/17/2023

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Kevin Love Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-140/+114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kevin Love has attempted 6.4 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.4 more than he's attempted overall this season on the road.

The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage when it comes to attempts from downtown.

With the home court advantage, the Celtics have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (7.2) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kevin Love has converted a measly 2.6 baskets per game this season, significantly less than his 4.4 rate last season.

The matchup vs. the Celtics is a tough one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting PFs have posted the 9th-lowest Field Goal% in the league this year (45.8%).

The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games while playing on the road.

The Celtics have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease possessions for the Heat.

The Miami Heat check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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