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Kevin Love

Kevin Love Points
Player Prop - 5/2/2023

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Kevin Love Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Kevin Love has converted 2.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year while playing on the road.
  • The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA away from their home court this year as it relates to three-point attempts.
  • The matchup vs. New York is a strong one for three-point attempts; when the Knicks are on their home court, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.0).
  • The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from home.
  • The Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Knicks have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Heat.
  • The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup against New York may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 1.9 free throws per game over the last 25 games when the Knicks are playing at home (15th-least in the league).
  • Kevin Love will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling generally worsens player production in all facets of the game.

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