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Kevin Love

Kevin Love Points
Player Prop - 4/30/2023

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Kevin Love Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Kevin Love has successfully made 2.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year.
  • The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league while on the road this year when it comes to attempts from downtown.
  • The matchup vs. New York is a favorable one for attempts from downtown; when the Knicks are at home, opposing starting PFs have tallied the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (5.0).
  • The Miami Heat have played at the 8th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
  • The Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Kevin Love has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's been called for over the course of the season.
  • The Knicks have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Heat.
  • The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup against New York may be a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted just 1.9 free throws per game over the last 25 games when the Knicks are playing at home (12th-least in the NBA).
  • Kevin Love will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to worsens player performance across the board.

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