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Kevin Love

Kevin Love Assists
Player Prop - 12/22/2023

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks

Kevin Love Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+150/-195).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -146 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -195.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kevin Love has totaled 3.4 assists per game this year at home, putting him among the NBA's leaders by this metric in recent games: 78th percentile.

The Heat are expected to see a spike in possessions today from competing against the 2nd-speediest tempo visiting team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Hawks).

Kevin Love will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually boosts stat production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Heat have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Away from their home court, the Atlanta Hawks have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (11.5) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

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