Kevin Durant Points - Player Prop Bet 3/27/2024

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns · Mar 27, 2024

Updated Mar 28, 2024 2:02 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-141/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant rates in the 98th percentile, totaling an enormous 26.7 points per game without the home court advantage this year.
Kevin Durant has tallied 37.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 99th percentile.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Suns grade out 10th-best in in the NBA with 11.0 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

The Phoenix Suns check in as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games as the away team in regard to three-point attempts.
This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 3.7 three attempts per game (4th-fewest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, branding this as a hard matchup.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce possessions for the Suns.
In contrast to last year's 6.8 rate, Kevin Durant's foul shots scored have regressed this year to 5.1 per game.
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (fewest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, struggling to get to the foul line.

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