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Kessler Edwards

Kessler Edwards Points
Player Prop - 3/14/2025

Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks

Kessler Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kessler Edwards has averaged 29.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 15.7 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.

As it relates to shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's exceptional 115.8 points per game while on the road settles in as the 10th-strongest in the NBA this year.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league over the last 25 games as the visting team.

Kessler Edwards has sunk a whopping 90.0% of his free throw attempts this year, a big improvement over his 60.0 rate last year.

Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 7.6 foul shots per game (most in the NBA) against the Houston Rockets, easily managing to draw fouls.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last year's 34.4% rate, Kessler Edwards's 3-point ability has declined this year to 21.7%.

Kessler Edwards has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's committed in all games this year.

The matchup vs. the Rockets is a difficult one for 3-point shots; opposing starting PFs have compiled the lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (21.7%).

The Dallas Mavericks will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from competing against the 5th-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Houston Rockets).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 1stworst in in the league with just 8.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

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