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Kessler Edwards

Kessler Edwards Points
Player Prop - 3/12/2025

San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks

Kessler Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kessler Edwards has tallied 28.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 14.9 more than he's tallied over the course of the season.

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA away from their home court this year.

The rate of shots from downtown sunk against Bismack Biyombo has been quite high (45.8%) when facing other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

The 6th-speediest tempo visiting team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Mavericks.

The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Mavericks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last year's 34.4% clip, Kessler Edwards's 3-point efficiency has diminished this year to 21.7%.

Kessler Edwards has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 1.1 higher than he's been called for in all games this season on the road.

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs vs. Bismack Biyombo has been remarkably low this year (1.6 free throw attempts per game when they are at home: 3rd percentile).

Kessler Edwards is expected to suffer a reduction in efficiency for all stats considering playing away from home in this game.

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