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Keon Ellis

Keon Ellis Points
Player Prop - 4/13/2025

Sacramento Kings vs Phoenix Suns

Keon Ellis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keon Ellis has made 3.0 treys per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.0 higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year while at home.

Keon Ellis has played 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 9.8 more than he's played over the course of the year at home.

In regard to offense, the Kings's terrific 115.8 points per game measures as the 9th-highest in the NBA this year.

Keon Ellis has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 18.1% higher than he's sunk in all games this year.

Keon Ellis will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to raise player performance for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Keon Ellis has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games on his home court, 1.1 more than he's tallied in all games this season at home.

The matchup against Phoenix is a challenging one; when the Phoenix Suns are the visiting team, they have given up the least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PGs this year (12.2).

The 3rd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

The Phoenix Suns have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Sacramento Kings.

The Kings have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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