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Keon Ellis

Keon Ellis Points
Player Prop - 4/11/2025

Sacramento Kings vs LA Clippers

Keon Ellis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keon Ellis has converted 55.0% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games at home, 5.6% higher than he's sunk overall this season at home.

Keon Ellis has successfully made 3.4 threes per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.4 higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season while playing at home.

Keon Ellis has tallied 34.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 11.0 more than he's tallied over the course of the year at home.

The matchup against Los Angeles is a strong one for shots from the field; when the LA Clippers are away from home, the other team's starting PGs have shot for the 7th-highest FG% in the NBA this year (45.6%).

The Sacramento Kings have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Keon Ellis has tallied 3.3 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games when playing at home, 1.0 more than he's tallied overall this season at home.

The Sacramento Kings rank as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year when it comes to 3-pointers.

The Kings have played at the 5th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 25 games.

The Sacramento Kings will likely experience a decrease in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 6th-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Clippers).

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