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Keon Ellis

Keon Ellis Points
Player Prop - 3/31/2025

Indiana Pacers vs Sacramento Kings

Keon Ellis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-130/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keon Ellis has been on the court for 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.3 more than he's been on the court for overall this year.

As it relates to scoring, the Kings's remarkable 115.9 points per game rates 10th-most in the NBA this year.

The Kings will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 6th-fastest pace home team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Indiana Pacers).

Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 5.4 foul shots per game (7th-most in the NBA) vs. the Indiana Pacers, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Keon Ellis has averaged 3.3 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 1.2 higher than he's averaged in all games this year.

This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 4.6 3-point attempts per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Pacers, resulting in a challenging matchup.

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Sacramento Kings grade out 7thworst in in the NBA as the away team with a mere 9.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Keon Ellis ought to suffer a reduction in efficiency across the board on account of playing away from home in this matchup.

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