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Keon Ellis

Keon Ellis Points
Player Prop - 3/22/2025

Sacramento Kings vs Milwaukee Bucks

Keon Ellis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -103.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keon Ellis has successfully made 69.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 20.2% higher than he's converted in all games this season.

The matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks is a favorable one; they have allowed the most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PGs this year (21.7).

The Kings will likely see a spike in possessions in this contest from competing against the 5th-fastest tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Kings grade out 9th-best in in the league at home with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Keon Ellis has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 20.6% higher than he's made overall this season playing at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Keon Ellis has accumulated 3.3 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 higher than he's accumulated in all games this year.

In terms of shot attempts from downtown, the 6th-least aggressive team in the league while at home this year has been the Sacramento Kings.

The Kings have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games.

More Keon Ellis Player Props

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