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Keon Ellis

Keon Ellis Points
Player Prop - 1/3/2025

Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies

Keon Ellis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -128.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keon Ellis has converted 40.4% of his three-point shots this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the league.

The Kings will likely get a boost in possessions today from competing against the most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Memphis Grizzlies).

The Kings rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Keon Ellis has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 22.5% higher than he's made in all games this season.

The matchup vs. Memphis may be a good one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted an enormous 4.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Grizzlies are the visiting squad (5th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Kings have been the 4th-least aggressive offense in the NBA as the home team this year as it relates to 3-point attempts.

The matchup against the Grizzlies is a challenging one for field goals; the other team's starting SGs have averaged the least buckets per game in the NBA this year (4.3).

The Kings have played at the 10th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team.

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