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Keon Ellis

Keon Ellis Points
Player Prop - 11/27/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Sacramento Kings

Keon Ellis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -124.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keon Ellis has converted 2.8 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's converted from three overall this season.

With respect to offense, the Sacramento Kings's excellent 48.3% field goal rate rates 5th-highest in the NBA this year.

The 6th-speediest tempo away team in the league over the last 8 games has been the Kings.

Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 3.6 foul shots per game (6th-highest in the league) against the Timberwolves, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against Minnesota is a hard one for 3-point shots; when the Timberwolves are on their home court, the other team's starting SGs have tallied the least shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (1.3).

The Timberwolves have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Kings.

The Kings have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Keon Ellis ought to suffer a reduction in output in all facets of the game due to playing away from home in this game.

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