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Keon Ellis

Keon Ellis Points
Player Prop - 3/26/2024

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks

Keon Ellis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keon Ellis has attempted 3.3 shots per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 1.0 mark last season.

Keon Ellis has averaged 28.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 13.5 higher than he's averaged overall this year.

This year, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 6.1 three attempts per game (5th-most in the league) against the Mavericks, resulting in a strong matchup.

The showdown with Kyrie Irving rates in just the 97th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting SGs making a massive 51.9% of their shots from the field this year when they have the home court advantage.

The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which ought to increase possessions for the Kings.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Keon Ellis has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 1.7 higher than he's averaged overall this season at home.

The Sacramento Kings rank as the 10th-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 5 games.

Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (6th-lowest in the league) against the Mavericks, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

More Keon Ellis Player Props

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