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Keon Ellis

Keon Ellis Points
Player Prop - 3/23/2024

Orlando Magic vs Sacramento Kings

Keon Ellis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -123 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -143.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keon Ellis has converted 40.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 9.1% more than he's made over the course of the year.

This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled 14.8 field goal attempts per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Orlando Magic, resulting in a strong matchup.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Kings rank best in in the NBA on the road with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 5.4 free throws per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Magic, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Keon Ellis has attempted 3.1 field goals per game this year, placing him in the 21st percentile out of all players in the league.

Keon Ellis has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's committed overall this season.

The Kings rank as the 4th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games.

The Orlando Magic have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should reduce possessions for the Sacramento Kings.

Among all players in the NBA, Keon Ellis places in the 13th percentile for getting to the foul line, compiling only 0.4 foul shots per game this year.

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