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Keon Ellis

Keon Ellis Points
Player Prop - 3/21/2024

Washington Wizards vs Sacramento Kings

 
 
 
Keon Ellis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Keon Ellis has successfully made 54.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 15.8% more than he's sunk in all games this year.
  • Keon Ellis has successfully made 50.0% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 18.2% more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year.
  • The 10th-fastest pace away offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Kings.
  • The Wizards have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Sacramento Kings.
  • The Sacramento Kings rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Keon Ellis has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year.
  • With respect to 3-point shots, the Kings's subpar 33.6% rate of drained threes places 7th-lowest in the league over the last 10 games.
  • This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 10.9 points per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Washington Wizards, creating a challenging matchup for offensive efficiency.
  • Keon Ellis has attempted 0.4 foul shots per game this year, ranking in the 14th percentile among all players in the league.
  • The matchup vs. the Washington Wizards may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SGs have attempted a lowly 2.2 free throws per game over the last 20 games (3rd-least in the NBA).

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