Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2023

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Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

NBA · Player Props

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

G · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Atlanta Hawks vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 11, 2023

Updated Dec 12, 2023 12:33 AM EST

Analysis

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+130/-170).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has compiled a whopping 0.6 offensive boards per game this season, a significant increase from his 0.5 offensive boards per game last season.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has played 33.4 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 88th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Nuggets are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 10 games (the Hawks).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 8thbest in in the NBA with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 more than he's tallied overall this year.
The Nuggets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA while at home this year.
Over the last 5 games, opposing clubs have nabbed 13.6 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Hawks (preserving possessions that can spark bonus opportunities for offense).
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope stands to suffer a reduction in output across the board on account of being on the road in this contest.

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